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3 Overvalued E-Commerce Stocks to Avoid in February

3 Overvalued E-Commerce Stocks to Avoid in February

Posted On February 5, 2021 12:15 am
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Most  e-commerce stocks experienced heady rallies last year as online shopping dominated consumer purchases amid the COVID-19 pandemic. With this changing consumer behavior, many traditional brick-and-mortar retailers have altered their business models to increase their online presence. Most agree that this strategy helped them thrive, an experience not dissimilar to core e-commerce companies’.

However, while the e-commerce boom has sent the prices of most of the stocks in the industry to very high levels, some are trading at lofty valuations despite possessing dismal growth prospects. Because the business growth potential of these companies does not justify their stocks’ premium valuations, we believe these stocks might witness a correction in the near term.

Sea Limited (SE – Get Rating), Chewy, Inc. (CHWY – Get Rating), and Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA – Get Rating) are three stocks that look overvalued now considering the weakness in their financials. Hence, it is best to take a pass on these  stocks for now.

Sea Limited (SE – Get Rating)

Headquartered in Singapore, SE is involved in digital entertainment, e-commerce, and digital financial service businesses in  Asia, Latin America,  and internationally. The company operates platforms including  Garena digital entertainment, Shopee e-commerce, and SeaMoney digital financial services.

In December , the company priced  an offering of 13.2 million American Depositary Shares at US$195.00 per ADS. SE expects to use issue’s  proceeds  for business expansion and other general corporate purposes.

SE appears to be  extremely overvalued currently . In terms of its railing-12-month EV/Sales, SE is currently trading at 33.62x, 1113.8% more expensive than the industry average of 2.77x. Moreover, the company’s trailing-12-month Price-to-Book ratio currently stands at 157.56x, which is significantly higher than the industry average of 2.57x.

In the third quarter ended September 30, 2020, SE’s GAAP revenue increased 98.7% year-over-year to $1.2 billion. The company reported a net loss of $206.1 million and its adjusted EBITDA declined 490.9% from the year-ago quarter to a loss of $30.8 million. However, SE’s bookings under its  digital entertainment segment increased 109.5% year-over-year to $944.7 million over this period.

A consensus EPS estimate for the next quarter ending March 31, 2021 represents  a 38.5% improvement year-over-year. However, CQP failed to  beat the Street’s  EPS estimates in any of the trailing four quarters. The consensus revenue estimate of $1.75 billion for the next quarter represents 90.9% growth from the same period last year. The stock has gained 427.3% over the past year.

SE’s POWR Ratings are consistent with its underperformance. The POWR Ratings are calculated by considering 118 different factors with each factor weighted to an optimal degree.

The company has an overall rating of D, which equates to Sell in our proprietary ratings system. SE has a grade of D for Stability, Quality and Value. In the 64-stock Internet industry, it is ranked #59.

To see additional POWR Ratings for Growth, Sentiment, and Momentum for SE, Click here.

Chewy, Inc. (CHWY – Get Rating)

CHWY operates as a pure-play e-commerce business in the United States. The company provides pet food, pet supplies and pet medications, and other pet-health products, as well as pet services for dogs, cats, fish, and birds, through its retail website, and its mobile applications. It offers approximately 60,000 products from 2,000 partner brands.

In November, the company announced the expansion of its Pharmacy (Rx) business to offer compounded medications that are customized to the specific needs of pets. This could allow the company to broaden its portfolio and leverage its  reach to  pet owners.

CHWY’s forward price/sales ratio currently stands at 5.95x, which is 351.1% more expensive than the industry average of…

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